According to ESPN writer Scott Kacsmar, Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers may not be the league’s top player at his position due to his win-loss record in fourth quarter comeback.
Rodgers is reportedly 5-24 (.172) in games when he had the ball in the fourth quarter, trailing by 1-8 points. Dallas Cowboys QB Tony Romo had five comeback wins last season alone. Only Cam Newton has a worse fourth quarter record than Rodgers. Of course, you can massage numbers any way you want, but this analysis may be flawed.
When you get down to brass tacks, people generally remember Super Bowl winning quarterbacks, not how many fourth quarter comebacks a player has in a regular season. Since 1960, a look at the top 20 quarterbacks in the number of fourth quarter comebacks has such names as Vinny Testaverde, Warren Moon, Dan Fouts, Drew Bledsoe, Dave Krieg, Kerry Collins and Joe Ferguson. None of those quarterbacks has won a Super Bowl ring or has been a Super Bowl MVP. Even Lynn Dickey has more fourth quarter comebacks than Rodgers. Is anyone arguing that Dickey was a better quarterback than Rodgers? (By the way, I loved Lynn Dickey.)
Would Packer fans rather have Cam Newton or Tony Romo as quarterback?
I doubt it.
Would we like Rodgers to be more successful with fourth quarter comebacks?
However, the Packers have been in the thick of the championship hunt since Rodgers took over for the “Packer Quarterback Who Shall Remain Nameless.” (Before anyone writes me, I am nearly over that one, but still a little ticked.)
I would be willing to bet that most (if not all) NFL GMs would pick Rodgers as their quarterbacks if they were starting their own franchise. I will not be worrying about his won-loss record in fourth quarters. I will be even less concerned should he bring home another Super Bowl ring or two. I suspect most Packers fans feel the same. I will save my worries for the Packers’ defense.
For the record, Rodgers’ all-time ranks tied with a number of quarterbacks at 169th in the number of fourth quarter comebacks, according to ProFootballReference.com.