The Packers postseason hopes took a shot on Monday night agianst the Giants, but the team returns home as small favorites in order to keep pace.
With the passing game emerging with first year starter Jordan Love, Jayden Reed has become one of the most dangerous threats in the NFC as a rookie wide receiver. I'm looking to cash in on Reed and Love's growing chemistry against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Keep reading for my three favorite prop bets on Sunday, but you can find our betting expert Iain MacMillian's opinion on this one here in his weekly column, 'Road to 272!'
Best prop bets for Buccaneers vs. Packers in Week 15
- Jayden Reed OVER 52.5 receiving yards
- Jordan Love OVER 247.5 passing yards
- Raachad White UNDER 75.5 rushing yards
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Jayden Reed OVER 52.5 receiving yards
The Bucs defense has been below average all season in terms of EPA/Pass, 20th per RBSDM.com.
I'm going to target to fade this group on the road with the emerging star that is Reed, who has seen plenty of targets, but not a ton of yardage. Reed has at least four catches in five straight games, but hasn't gone over this number in four of those.
Now, we are getting a drop in price against a Bucs team that has struggled to contain explosive passes all season. While the defense has been playin gin rock fights in the NFC South, the Packers potent passing game that is fifth in EPA/Pass since Week 8 and should be able to get cookin gin this game.
Jordan Love OVER 247.5 passing yards
As mentioned above, the Packers offense is cooking. Love has led the team to four wins in its last six games with a top five passing game. In those six games, Love has gone over that mark in all but the most recent one, a poor effort against the Giants on Monday Night Football.
I'm going to trust the larger sample size that this Packers offense has turned a corner and he can get to above this modest mark in a bounce back effort. Again, this is a Bucs team that has struggled to stop chunk passing plays all season long. Matt LaFleur is in a good spot to scheme up a sound game plan.
Raachad White UNDER 75.5 rushing yards
Raachad White is playing his best football of the season, rushing for 102, 84 and 100 yards over the last three seasons, but its time to sell high on the Georgia prospect.
The Packers defense is at the league average in terms of EPA/Rush and given that the Bucs are in line to play from a negative game, I expect the team is going to have to opt to pass in this one, meaning White's high end outcome (as noted in the line) is less likely to come together.
Time to fade White.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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