Green Bay Packers Week 5 insight into Fantasy profiles
By Kenn Korb
WRs – Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, Davante Adams
Week 3 Statistics:
Nelson – 6 catches, 101 receiving yards, 2 TD; 22.10 fantasy points
Cobb – 1 catch, 33 receiving yards; 3.30 fantasy points
Adams – 2 catches, 23 receiving yards, 1 TD; 8.30 fantasy points
This area is probably what somehow brings both the most excitement and disappointment following the big showing against Detroit.
First off, we saw that maybe it’s time to expect high-level production from Jordy on a consistent basis again. He had scored in both of the previous games coming in, but this game saw him catching passes in a variety of areas and showing off more of the inherent ease to make plays we grew accustomed to prior to his injury.
It must be said that his production against Detroit wasn’t exactly versus great competition (outside of Darius Slay the Lions are desolate at CB; they also rank dead last in Pass Defense DVOA rankings), but his fluidity and timing were much improved and should only get better after the bye week.
Keep your eyes out for him to try hitting some double-moves on these Giants corners who like trying to jump routes; a huge game isn’t out of the question — and might be necessary for Green Bay to win.
The disappointment I was talking about before falls mostly on Cobb.
In a game where the offense jumped to a huge lead and put up 34 points, all we saw from this formerly great #2 option was a single 33-yard catch.
Part of his lacking production here likely lies in a combination of the high early score and getting more of the younger wideouts offensive snaps, but even when games have been closer he hasn’t done much, and it has become a notable concern.
Past Cobb, only Adams has proven capable of doing much consistent — and he is Mr. Inconsistency.
If the offense only has one capable receiver, defenses can hunker down and take him away through their coverages, and I’m beginning to wonder if Cobb can even do anything anymore in those type of situations.
This would be a great time to cast away everyone’s doubts.
He has a bye week to be fresh, the Giants’ secondary has talent but their eagerness can be used against them, and unless the game is a blowout it should be him seeing the majority of non-Jordy targets.
Should he struggle here — and especially if the Packers lose as well — we could start seeing some of his snaps consistently get siphoned off to guys like Jared Abbrederis and Ty Montgomery in hopes they can create a reliable threat underneath like Cobb used to do.
With Nelson and Cobb probably seeing most of Rodgers’ targets, I wouldn’t expect much to happen elsewhere on the receiving corps.
Even if Adams is still used as the de facto #3 receiver, should he continue his inconsistent tendencies on the outside (likely) I wouldn’t bank on him garnering many looks unless he’s literally the only option left out there.
Consider that it was on a pass to Adams that Rodgers threw his INT against Minnesota, and even with an early TD catch against Detroit he still saw his snap count drastically reduced (76.7% in Week 2; 46.4% in Week 3).
While I wouldn’t expect the number to be that low this game, it is something to keep an eye on in the coming weeks.