How the Packers can still earn the NFC’s number one seed
3. Seattle loses two
This is where it perhaps becomes a little unlikely for the Packers. The Seattle Seahawks look like one of the best teams in the entire NFL right now having won four in a row. The Packers will need the Seahawks to lose two of their remaining five games.
If Green Bay is tied with Seattle, the Seahawks would have the tiebreaker due to a better win percentage against common opponents. The games against the Philadelphia Eagles could make a huge difference here. The Packers lost to the Eagles but the Seahawks beat them.
The Packers and Seahawks have four common opponents in 2019 (Minnesota, Carolina, Philadelphia, San Francisco). Against those teams, Green Bay is currently 2-2 with one to play. Seattle is 2-0 with three to play.
As the Packers and Seahawks don’t play against each other this season, there is no head-to-head tiebreaker.
If the Packers win out and the Seahawks only lose one, their overall records would be tied and their conference records would be tied, but Seattle would have the advantage against common opponents.
Tiebreakers favor Seattle. Green Bay needs to finish with a better overall record, meaning the Seahawks must lose two of their remaining five.
Where could those losses come? They host the Vikings on Monday Night Football, and also have a road game against the Los Angeles Rams and home game with the 49ers to come. Three tough games.