It sounds odd to say, but Rodgers surpassed fantasy expectations last season. After a couple of years where he didn’t hit the consistent numbers we came to expect, his draft stock fell.
Managers who did pick up Rodgers were delighted, though, as he won the NFL MVP and put up huge fantasy numbers.
Should we expect more of the same in 2021?
How Rodgers finished in 2020
According to Fantasy Pros, Rodgers finished as the third best quarterback in fantasy, behind only Josh Allen and Kyler Murray. Considering where you would’ve got Rodgers in drafts, that’s incredible value.
Rodgers very rarely didn’t contribute to your weekly score as he threw at least two touchdown passes in 14 out of his 16 games. He threw four touchdowns in seven different games including during fantasy championships.
If you had Rodgers on your roster last season, chances are you went far.
What to expect in 2021
As this stage, we don’t even know if Rodgers will be playing for the Packers. If he doesn’t show up to training camp, would the Packers consider trading him away?
Assuming he does return to Green Bay, Rodgers should again be one of the top QBs in fantasy, although we should expect his numbers to drop somewhat. It’s unlikely he throws another 48 touchdown passes in a single season, and he doesn’t bring the safe floor with rushing yards as some other QBs do.
Still a great option, but perhaps drafted too high.
According to Fantasy Football Calculator, Rodgers’ average draft position sees him being selected as the seventh quarterback, and being picked in the sixth round.
Clearly, while his future is uncertain, that’s a big gamble. But even if Rodgers commits to playing in Green Bay this year, the sixth round for any QB is high, unless we’re talking about the best of the best from a fantasy perspective.
You can find starting quality QBs throughout the draft. If Rodgers is there later on, he can provide good value, but the sixth is a little high, especially with his future uncertain.