Packers: AJ Dillon early 2022 fantasy football predictions

If AJ Dillon was given a featured role as the Green Bay Packers‘ top running back, he could be a league-winner in fantasy football.

Good news for the Packers is that they have one of the best running back duos in football. But that’s not necessarily good news for fantasy football owners.

Where should you draft Dillon in 2022?

How Dillon finished in 2021

According to Fantasy Pros, Dillon finished as the RB23 in PPR scoring. Not bad at all, considering the Packers split carries between Dillon and Aaron Jones.

However, if you had Dillon on your roster, you likely didn’t know when to start him. As Green Bay didn’t have a clear featured running back, predicting Dillon’s big performances wasn’t easy.

What to expect in 2022

Unfortunately for fantasy owners, the 50/50 split between carries may not be going anywhere. Dillon and Jones each had over 1,000 total yards last season, so why should Matt LaFleur fix something that isn’t broken?

One thing worth noting is that with Davante Adams gone, the Packers may lean on their rushing attack more frequently. In that case, it would only help Dillon’s value.

Dillon should have another productive season for the Packers, but while he’s splitting carries with Jones, predicting which weeks to start him in fantasy could remain an issue.

Fantasy draft

According to Fantasy Football Calculator, Dillon’s average draft position is in the fifth round.

I would be a little concerned about drafting Dillon in the fifth. His week-to-week production is so unpredictable given the 50/50 split of carries.

If Aaron Jones misses any time, Dillon would immediately become an RB1. But while they’re splitting carries, it isn’t easy to predict which weeks to start Dillon.

Dillon can certainly add value to your fantasy roster, but the fifth round feels a little high. That’s not based on Dillon’s talent but rather the split touches in the Packers’ backfield.