The Green Bay Packers‘ path to the playoffs has become far clearer in recent weeks.
Green Bay has won its past three games, while the Seattle Seahawks, Washington Commanders, New York Giants, and Detroit Lions have all lost games.
Rather than Green Bay needing a miracle run of results to happen, just a couple of conditions must be met for Matt LaFleur’s team to reach the playoffs.
Packers must win final two games
Packers’ remaining games: vs. Vikings, vs. Lions
This is the simple bit, the part Green Bay controls.
The team needed to win its remaining five games to have a chance. It has checked three of those boxes by defeating the Chicago Bears, Los Angeles Rams, and Miami Dolphins.
They must now close out the regular season with two more victories in divisional battles against the Minnesota Vikings and Detroit Lions. Both of those games will be played at Lambeau Field, which helps.
Technically, the Packers can make the postseason even with one loss, but it’s incredibly unlikely. One defeat, and it’s effectively all over.
If Green Bay wins out, it must also get a little help.
Commanders must lose one OR Giants must lose two
Commanders’ remaining games: vs. Browns, vs. Cowboys
Giants’ remaining games: vs. Colts, at Eagles
If the Packers win out, they would need one of two things to happen. Either the Washington Commanders lose one of their remaining two games, or the New York Giants lose both of theirs.
Washington dropping one game is the more likely scenario, but there is another way should the Commanders win both.
Unlike in previous weeks, it doesn’t matter what the Seattle Seahawks do or the Detroit Lions’ result against the Chicago Bears this week. If the Packers win out, the Lions will lose in Week 18 at Lambeau Field.
So, it’s simple. If the Packers win both, they just need one Commanders loss or two Giants defeats.