The Green Bay Packers have to win in Week 18.
Victory over the Detroit Lions would guarantee them the seventh seed. A loss or tie eliminates them. It’s that simple.
So, what if the Packers win?
We know the seventh and final NFC seed would be theirs, but what comes next?
It means Green Bay would travel on the road in the wild-card round to take on the second seed. Right now, that could be four different teams.
If the Packers win, here are the scenarios it would take to play each team in the wild-card round.
- Philadelphia loss + San Francisco win + Dallas loss/tie
If the Eagles lose to the New York Giants and the San Francisco 49ers win, Philadelphia would fall to the No. 2 seed.
But if the Dallas Cowboys also win, the Eagles would be knocked into a wild-card spot.
So for the Eagles to end up in the No. 2 seed, the above scenario must play out.
San Francisco 49ers
- San Francisco win + Philadelphia win/tie
- San Francisco tie + Minnesota tie/loss
- San Francisco loss + Minnesota loss
If the 49ers win and the Eagles win or tie, San Francisco will be the No. 2 seed.
If San Francisco loses or ties, it will still make the No. 2 seed as long as Minnesota doesn’t have a better result.
For example, if the 49ers lose and the Vikings win or tie, they would overtake the 49ers. But as long as the 49ers match the Vikings’ result, they will have the higher seed.
- Dallas win + Philadelphia loss + San Francisco win
As things stand, the Cowboys will be a wild-card team. To earn a top-four seed, they must win the NFC East, which requires winning in Week 18 and the Eagles losing.
If the 49ers also win, the Cowboys would take the No. 2 seed. If San Francisco ties or loses, Dallas would take the No. 1 seed.
- Minnesota win + San Francisco loss/tie
- Minnesota tie + San Francisco loss
The Vikings will clinch either the No. 2 or No. 3 seed this week. If they win, they need a 49ers loss or tie. If the Vikings tie, they’d take the second seed with a 49ers loss.
If the Packers make the playoffs, who do you hope they play in the wild-card round?