5 bold Packers predictions for Week 13 matchup vs. Chiefs

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers / Lauren Leigh Bacho/GettyImages
3 of 5

Packers hold Chiefs to 20 or fewer points

It's hard to call it a "good" matchup for the Packers' defense this week. There's no such thing as a favorable matchup when Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense are on the other side of the field. However, Green Bay's defense is built to stop the pass, and that's where Kansas City primarily wins.

According to Team Rankings, the Chiefs call passing plays 60.7 percent of the time, seventh-most in the NFL. It's the Andy Reid way. And it's understandable. When Mahomes is your quarterback, it makes sense to put the ball in his hands as often as possible.

The Packers prefer teams to attack them through the air. According to Pro Football Reference, Green Bay ranks seventh in hurry percentage and eighth in pressure and QB knockdown percentage.

Kansas City has an excellent pass-protecting line, but the same is true for Detroit. According to PFF, the Packers pressured Jared Goff 25 times on 50 dropbacks last week. Goff was pressured on half of his dropbacks.

Then there is the Chiefs' offensive inconsistency. Mahomes' receivers have made so many mistakes this season. According to Pro Football Reference, no team has dropped more passes than Kansas City, which has 30.

Another stat that's hard to believe: Kansas City has been shut out in the second half in three of its past four games.

If the Packers get Jaire Alexander back this week and the pass rush can back up their Thanksgiving performance, Green Bay has a chance to cause problems for Kansas City's offense.