Oct 11, 2015; Green Bay, WI, USA; Green Bay Packers wide receiver Ty Montgomery (88) runs past St. Louis Rams cornerback Trumaine Johnson (22) to score a touchdown after catching a pass in the first quarter at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports
Cobb – 3 catches, 23 receiving yards; 2.30 fantasy points
Adams – 0 catches, 0 receiving yards; 0.00 fantasy points (Out Due To Injury)
Jones – 2 catches, 77 receiving yards, 1 TD; 13.70 fantasy points
Montgomery – 4 catches, 59 receiving yards, 1 TD; 11.90 fantasy points
With the struggles of Aaron Rodgers to hold onto the ball and a bundle of strong coverage on display by the Rams secondary, the wide receivers didn’t produce in the manner we would hope. There were a few saving graces due to a couple big plays against broken coverages (the early TD to Montgomery, the long TD to James Jones) but outside of that there wasn’t much of anything here.
In following with the theme so far, expect these guys to step up to a more expected level of production again.
As I said earlier, San Diego does have some good players in their secondary (Eric Weddle, Jason Verrett, Brandon Flowers), but those guys can only do so much if the players in front of them aren’t applying pressure.
Though the Packers’ offensive line has been nowhere near as great as they were in 2014, they are talented enough to hold off whatever San Diego’s front seven can dish out. Plus, they’ll have their best five guys out there for the second straight week, with Bryan Bulaga having another week of practice and recovery after coming back against St. Louis and T.J. Lang’s knee injury against the Rams appearing to not be serious enough to keep him out.
A full-power offensive line means better blocking for their quarterback. Better blocking means more time. More time means the receivers have a better chance of breaking free in coverage.
All of that means a better effort all around from this corps.
Randall Cobb should return to being one of the top weekly options for Rodgers and fantasy owners; he’s the undisputed top pass-catcher in Green Bay and should see a large amount of targets.
James Jones tends to get less targets on average, but I think the ones he does make could give him decent yardage; I’m not expecting him to grab a touchdown — those tend to be predictively random and he’s garnered a large amount already, so we could see a relative adjustment to the mean in terms of him garnering them — but he could easily end up with one here too.
Ty Montgomery has been getting more involved in the offense lately; with Adams likely sitting another week to heal he should continue to see a decent number of targets, and his explosive abilities can help him break a big play or two.
Adams, as I said, probably still doesn’t play this week. That’s bad for fantasy owners if they need him here, but better for the team in the long run; more rest will let Adams get even closer to a full recovery before the big Week 8 matchup with the uber-impressive defense of Denver and their array of talented cover-men (Aqib Talib, Chris Harris Jr., Bradley Roby).
Owners for any of the other three guys though should reap the benefits of this just fine.
Week 6 Predictions:
Cobb – 8 catches, 80 receiving yards, 2 TD; 20.00 fantasy points
Adams – Likely Sitting Out Again
Jones – 2 catch, 45 receiving yards; 4.50 fantasy points
Montgomery – 3 catches, 60 receiving yards, 1 TD; 12.00 fantasy points
Verdicts: Lead Option (Cobb); TD-Reliant Producer (Jones); Let Him Heal (Adams); The Rookie Is Ready To Go! (Montgomery)