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Oddmakers still aren't sold on Packers as legitimate Super Bowl LXI contenders

ByLuke Norris
Green Bay Packers head coach Matt LaFleur on the sidelines against the New York Jets; Brad Penner
Green Bay Packers head coach Matt LaFleur on the sidelines against the New York Jets; Brad Penner | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Well, where did that time go? Unbelievably, we're already a third of the way through this 2026 NFL regular season, and while the Green Bay Packers got off to a rough start, they've since righted the ship.

After kicking off the campaign by blowing a big lead in a loss to the Minnesota Vikings, Matt LaFleur & Co. needed overtime to pick up their first win, taking a 20-17 victory over the New York Jets, only to get embarrassed by the Atlanta Falcons a few days later on Thursday Night Football to start Week 3.

But since then, the Packers have reeled off three consecutive victories, first squeaking by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 4, then blowing out the rival Chicago Bears in Week 5, and then taking down the Dallas Cowboys this past Sunday night to up their record to 4-2, thus putting them in second place in the NFC North behind the undefeated Vikings. Chicago has the same 4-2 mark, but with the head-to-head win, Green Bay gets the nod.

That said, though, when it comes to the Super Bowl LXI odds at this one-third point of the season, the Packers actually sit behind all three of their division rivals.

Packers sit in a tie for 14th overall in the latest Super Bowl LXI odds

Here's a quick look at the odds for all 32 teams to win Super Bowl LXI, which will be contested on February 14, 2027, at SoFi Stadium. Also included are the odds for each team to represent their respective conference in the title game.

Team

Super Bowl 61

AFC

NFC

San Francisco 49ers

+540

—

+240

Buffalo Bills

+750

+395

—

Kansas City Chiefs

+750

+440

—

Baltimore Ravens

+1000

+520

—

Seattle Seahawks

+1200

—

+670

Los Angeles Rams

+1200

—

+700

Jacksonville Jaguars

+1300

+600

—

Chicago Bears

+1500

—

+790

Minnesota Vikings

+1800

—

+700

New England Patriots

+1800

+570

—

Denver Broncos

+2000

+1000

—

Cincinnati Bengals

+2100

+1025

—

Detroit Lions

+2500

—

+1150

Green Bay Packers

+3000

—

+1175

Houston Texans

+3000

+1700

—

Dallas Cowboys

+3500

—

+2050

Carolina Panthers

+4000

—

+1275

Atlanta Falcons

+7000

—

+4200

Las Vegas Raiders

+9000

+12500

—

Pittsburgh Steelers

+12000

+3300

—

Indianapolis Colts

+12000

+13000

—

New York Giants

+12500

—

+4600

Washington Commanders

+12500

—

+8600

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

+12500

—

+12500

New Orleans Saints

+15000

—

+11500

Philadelphia Eagles

+20000

—

+12000

Cleveland Browns

+20000

+10500

—

Arizona Cardinals

+40000

—

+20000

New York Jets

+50000

+20000

—

Los Angeles Chargers

+50000

+20000

—

Tennessee Titans

+100000

+20000

—

Miami Dolphins

+100000

+20000

—

As you can see, NFL oddsmakers aren't quite yet sold on the Packers being a true title contender, as Green Bay sits in a tie for 14th overall alongside the Houston Texans at +3000, a figure that puts them in seventh among NFC teams.

And as mentioned above, all three teams in the North rank higher, with the Bears at +1500, the Vikings at +1800, and the Lions, who will host the Packers this Sunday, at +2500. What's interesting here, however, is that while Chicago has better odds than Minnesota to win the Lombardi Trophy, the Vikings have +700 odds to win the NFC, while the Bears are at +790. So, that's a little strange.

As far as winning just the division is concerned, the Vikes have a commanding lead there at +105, with the Bears and Lions tied for second at +350 and the Packers bringing up the rear at +530.

So, do what you will with all of that, as the fact of the matter is that nobody has any idea how all of this will play out, given the overall strength of the North and the overall strength of the NFC as a whole right now.

Now, if you're a regular reader here at Lombardi Ave, you know that we've been tracking these Super Bowl LXI odds for quite some time.

We looked for the first time in the immediate aftermath of the Seattle Seahawks' Super Bowl LX victory over the New England Patriots, and at that time, Green Bay sat tied for seventh overall and tied for fourth among NFC teams at +1400.

We looked again following the initial wave of free agency in March, and while the Packers' odds had fallen just a touch to +1500, their standing went up, as they were tied for fifth overall and sat in solo third in the NFC.

We took another look in April after the draft, and while Green Bay dropped another little bit to +1600, that was still good for a tie for sixth overall and a tie for third in the NFC.

And just ahead of Week 1, the Packers sat at +2000, which knocked them out of the top 10 for the first time all year, as that was good for a tie for 13th overall and solo sixth in the NFC.

So, this is actually the worst spot Green Bay has been in all year long. But again, it's impossible to predict how the next 12 weeks will play out. All the Packers have to do is just keep winning football games, and these odds will obviously start going back in the other direction.

All betting odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook. Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change. The content in this article should not be considered betting advice. Gambling involves risk, and one should only gamble with funds that one can comfortably afford to lose. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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