Weather report hands Jordan Love a huge advantage over Tua Tagovailoa
As you know (I hope, at least), the Packers are in the NFC North. And as an NFC North team, it's their duty to consistently talk about the weather. They do it, the Bears do it, and the Lions/Vikings are just little cowards who succumbed to peer pressure and built domed stadiums.
Still, it plainly states in the NFL rule book (I assume) that NFC North teams have to be way more into weather forecasts than anyone else. It's their cross to bear. And since we've somehow already reached Thanksgiving, there's a lot of bad weather rapidly making its way north of the wall. Winter is here.
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The Dolphins are about to find that out in an extremely real way on Thursday night, when they head to Lambeau Field for a Thanksgiving nightcap against the Packers. Local highs in the area that day are supposed to reach the low 30s, which means that by the time kickoff rolls around, the sun will be long gone and temperatures will be 10-12 degrees colder.
That's obviously wonderful news for the Packers, but it gets even better when you look at The Fancy Stats.
If you can believe it, Green Bay's QB is better in cold weather than Miami's QB
According to lots of different sites on the internet, we have a great picture of how both Jordan Love and Tua Tagovailoa have played in games that never got above 40 degrees. And, not to play spoiler too much, but the QB who plays in Wisconsin is significantly better at cold weather than the one that plays in Miami Gardens.
- Jordan Love: 103/152 (67.8%), 1,049 yards, 7 TDs, 2 INTs, 97.2 rating
- Tua Tagovailoa: 90/165 (54.5%), 999 yards, 4 TDs, 5 INTs, 68.2 rating
With Tua, the Dolphins are 0-7 in games below 45 degrees.
That just about wraps it up! Why even bother playing the game, really. It's a little odd that Tagovailoa's thrown more passes in cold weather than Love, but I guess that's because the Packers have committed to running the damn ball, the way the game was meant to be played.
Frankly, those stats are a little closer than I think I'd prefer, but Love still has the clear advantage, so I'm fine with it. This concludes the extremely scientific look into why the Packers will probably easily cruise to a win on Thursday night. Weather!