Week 11 Green Bay Packers Fantasy Profile

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Nov 9, 2014; Green Bay, WI, USA; Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) throws a pass during the first quarter against the Chicago Bears at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

QB – Aaron Rodgers

You remember how disappointing things were at the end of the New Orleans game? They pulled away for a blowout while Aaron Rodgers was looking hobbled by his hamstring – an injury that tends to hang around for a while.

It seems a week off and a matchup with Chicago can heal all ills, as Rodgers was as far onto the other end of the spectrum as could be.

Any issues with his hamstring are firmly in the rear view, as he moved as well as ever in slicing apart Chicago’s weak defense en route to those six first-half touchdowns. The offense looks as strong as ever, and with Rodgers at the helm should continue to find ways to impress us every week.

This week his matchup is tougher; Philadelphia is a rated #6 in Defensive DVOA* – Chicago is 30th – and that is despite being attached to an offense that is built around moving the ball at a rapid pace and has a low time of possession (low T.O.P. for the offense means more time on the field for the defense).

They’ve been much-improved in the secondary from last season and have shown an ability across the defense to produce sacks (32, second league-wide) and force turnovers (7 INT/15 FF with 9 Recoveries).

Rodgers will have to be wary of pressure coming from players like Connor Barwin (10.5  sacks) to have a good day, but if there is any quarterback to not worry about, it is Aaron Rodgers.

As I stated in my article on Tuesday, he is the best quarterback in the game and combines all the great elements the others bring to the table.

His ability to move around and extend plays will help keep the pass-rush from making it’s way to him – if it can get past the offensive line, which is playing well, too – and he avoids risky throws more than any top quarterback.

I expect him to do what he has done in all other home games this year; that is, tear apart the opposing secondary and toss touchdowns.

It might be more necessary in this one than any of the others so far – Philly does have a strong offense in their own right – but he’ll be up to the challenge either way.

Prediction: 325 yards, 4 TDs, 0 INTs
Verdict: Must-Start

*DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) is an advanced statistic created by Football Outsiders that breaks down every single NFL play and compares a team’s performance to a league baseline based on situation in order to determine value over average